Manuel Guinard vs Roman Safiullin — Adelaide Round of 32

Adelaide · ATP · Round of 32
FRA
Manuel Guinard
#1565ATP
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 January 2025
hard
Roman Safiullin
RUS
Roman Safiullin
#132ATP
1750ELO
1704Hard ELO
$199kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Guinard M.
7-6 2-6 6-1
Safiullin R.
Guinard M.
77262
Safiullin R.
64611

Manuel Guinard defeated Roman Safiullin 7-6 2-6 6-1 in the Adelaide round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Roman Safiullin came in ranked #132.

Key context

  • Match story: Manuel Guinard came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 2–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Guinard M.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Safiullin R.

Safiullin R.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Guinard M.

Serve advantage — Safiullin R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Guinard M.Safiullin R.
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Clear edge
47%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.6
5.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.7
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 54). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Guinard M.Safiullin R.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
13
68
Break points saved·Clear edge
80
96
Break points won·Dominant
19
44
Deciding sets·Dominant
7
76
Tiebreaks·Dominant
2
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Guinard M.
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
Safiullin R.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.7
Surface form
6.6
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.1
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Guinard M.Safiullin R.
Freshness·
—
74

Safiullin R.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 40 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 58%
Final
Auger Aliassime F.[5]
Korda S.[2]
6-33-66-1
Semi-finals
Auger Aliassime F.[5]
Paul T.[1]
7-633-66-4
Korda S.[2]
Kecmanovic M.
6-37-64
Quarter-finals
Korda S.[2]
Kokkinakis T.
W/O
Auger Aliassime F.[5]
Giron M.
7-636-3
Kecmanovic M.
Bonzi B.
6-26-3
Paul T.[1]
Hijikata R.
6-36-4
R16
Kecmanovic M.
Oconnell C.
7-616-2
Kokkinakis T.
Etcheverry T.[8]
7-54-67-64
Giron M.
Shapovalov D.
7-56-2
Korda S.[2]
Davidovich Fokina A.
6-36-3
Bonzi B.
Tu L.
6-36-3
Paul T.[1]
Guinard M.
6-43-66-3
Hijikata R.
Nakashima B.[7]
6-23-67-65
Auger Aliassime F.[5]
Cazaux A.
1-66-47-5
R32
Cazaux A.
Walton A.
7-56-1
Oconnell C.
Rinderknech A.
7-57-65
Davidovich Fokina A.
Bautista Agut R.
7-56-2
Etcheverry T.[8]
Schoolkate T.
7-686-3
Hijikata R.
Goffin D.
6-16-2
Kokkinakis T.
Nishioka Y.
6-33-66-3
Tu L.
Duckworth J.
6-17-5
Giron M.
Vukic A.
6-23-66-3
Nakashima B.[7]
Hanfmann Y.
6-12-66-3
Guinard M.
Safiullin R.
7-642-66-1
Shapovalov D.
Zhang Z.[9]
6-36-4
Kecmanovic M.
Bublik A.[6]
6-46-2