Tommy Paul vs Manuel GuinardAdelaide Round of 16

Adelaide · ATP · Round of 16
#25ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 January 2025
hard
#1565ATP
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLLLLL
Paul T.
6-4 3-6 6-3
Guinard M.
Paul T.
6362
Guinard M.
4631

Tommy Paul defeated Manuel Guinard 6-4 3-6 6-3 in the Adelaide round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #25, defending last year's quarter-final.

Key context

  • Match story: Tommy Paul closed it out in three sets, 6–4 3–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Guinard M.

Guinard M.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve advantage — Paul T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paul T.Guinard M.
71
Serve
54
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
55%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
59%
Return points won·Even
39%
36%
Break points saved·Clear edge
62%
49%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.3
4.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (66 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
93
13
Break points saved·Clear edge
99
80
Break points won·Dominant
87
19
Deciding sets·Dominant
98
7
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
2

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 70 days (−1.2)
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.8
Surface form
3.7
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.1
Country comfort
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
86

Paul T.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 58%