Jule Niemeier vs Sorana CirsteaAdelaide Qualifying Round 1

Adelaide · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#569WTA
1418ELO
1423Hard ELO
26 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLLL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 January 2025
hard
#17WTA
1957ELO
1914Hard ELO
$1.5MYTD
$12MCAREER
36 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWWW
Niemeier J.
6-4 6-2
Cirstea S.
Niemeier J.
662
Cirstea S.
42

Jule Niemeier defeated Sorana Cirstea 6-4 6-2 in the Adelaide qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Sorana Cirstea came in ranked #17.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Niemeier J.serving47% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Cirstea S.

Cirstea S.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Niemeier J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Niemeier J.Cirstea S.
Serve
67
Return
70

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
54%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
40%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
53%
61%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
46%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.4
4.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
8.2
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (51 vs 77). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
12
85
Break points saved·Dominant
33
86
Break points won·Slight edge
82
92
Deciding sets·Dominant
9
85
Tiebreaks·Dominant
42
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 189 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
0.0Hard Elo 1423
Surface ELO
10.0+491 Hard Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1418
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 1957
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
1.4
Surface form
6.7
0.0Lost last 7
Win streak
0.0Lost last 6
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
8.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
90

Cirstea S.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast