Maria Lourdes Carle vs Renata ZarazuaHobart Qualifying Round 2

Hobart · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#232WTA
1484ELO
1459Hard ELO
26 yrs · 166 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 January 2025
hard
#75WTA
1663ELO
1639Hard ELO
28 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWLLL
Carle M.
6-1 6-7 6-1
Zarazua R.
Carle M.
66662
Zarazua R.
17811

Maria Lourdes Carle defeated Renata Zarazua 6-1 6-7 6-1 in the Hobart qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Renata Zarazua came in ranked #75. Maria Lourdes Carle extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Maria Lourdes Carle came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 6–7 6–1.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-04-16BJK Cup G1 PPO: MEX vs ARGRRhardMaria Lourdes Carle6-3 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Carle M.serving37% hold

wins 45% of points on serve vs Zarazua R.

Zarazua R.serving44% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Carle M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Carle M.Zarazua R.
Serve
22
Return
47

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
73%
1st serve points won·Even
57%
58%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
40%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
51%
56%
Return points won·Even
48%
46%
Break points saved·Even
50%
54%
Aces / match·Even
0.8
0.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.1
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (80 vs 93). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
27
51
Break points saved·Dominant
26
57
Break points won·Even
97
95
Deciding sets·Slight edge
56
63
Tiebreaks·Dominant
5
37

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.5Hard Elo 1459
Surface ELO
7.5+180 Hard Elo edge
2.3Overall Elo 1484
ELO gap
7.7Overall Elo 1663
10.0
H2H
0.0
3.7
Surface form
7.5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.5
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
86
98

Carle M.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d) · Zarazua R.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast