Katerina Siniakova vs Cristina BucsaAdelaide Qualifying Round 1

Adelaide · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#34WTA
1846ELO
1807Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$17MCAREER
30 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 January 2025
hard
#41WTA
1722ELO
1710Hard ELO
$900kYTD
$5.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWWWW
Siniakova K.
7-5 6-0
Bucsa C.
Siniakova K.
762
Bucsa C.
50

Katerina Siniakova defeated Cristina Bucsa 7-5 6-0 in the Adelaide qualifying round 1 on hard. The result followed the form book — Katerina Siniakova came in ranked #34, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Katerina Siniakova extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-04-19IstanbulR32clayKaterina Siniakova7-6(5) 3-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Siniakova K.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Bucsa C.

Bucsa C.serving54% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Siniakova K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Siniakova K.Bucsa C.
21
Serve
22
64
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
46%
Service points won·Even
58%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
57%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.8
1.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (72 vs 78). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
62
60
Break points saved·Even
75
79
Break points won·Even
94
93
Deciding sets·Clear edge
46
68
Tiebreaks·Dominant
90
27

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 77 days (−1.2)
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+97 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 1710
6.2Overall Elo 1846
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1722
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.3
Surface form
5.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.9
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
98

Siniakova K.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast