Felix Auger Aliassime vs Sebastian KordaAdelaide Final

Adelaide · ATP · Final
#4ATP
1958ELO
1932Hard ELO
$2.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 January 2025
hard
#63ATP
1809ELO
1765Hard ELO
$471kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
Auger Aliassime F.
6-3 3-6 6-1
Korda S.
Auger Aliassime F.
6362
Korda S.
3611

Felix Auger Aliassime defeated Sebastian Korda 6-3 3-6 6-1 in the Adelaide final on hard. The result followed the form book — Felix Auger Aliassime came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Felix Auger Aliassime extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-10-17AntwerpFhardFelix Auger Aliassime6-3 6-4
2022-04-25EstorilQFclaySebastian Korda6-2 6-2
2021-03-15AcapulcoR16hardFelix Auger Aliassime6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Auger Aliassime F.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Korda S.

Korda S.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Auger Aliassime F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Auger Aliassime F.Korda S.
74
Serve
61
44
Return
58

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
69%
67%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
10.0
9.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (97 vs 63). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
84
87
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Clear edge
50
73
Deciding sets·Even
99
96
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 147 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.8+167 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Hard Elo 1765
5.8Overall Elo 1958
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1809
10.0
H2H
0.0
4.8
Surface form
7.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.2
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
41

Auger Aliassime F.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 140 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 58%