Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Sebastian BaezAuckland Round of 16

Auckland · ATP · Round of 16
#110ATP
1681ELO
1533Hard ELO
$264kYTD
$1.7MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 January 2025
hard
#56ATP
1759ELO
1709Hard ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Diaz Acosta F.
6-4 7-6
Baez S.
Diaz Acosta F.
6772
Baez S.
4610

Facundo Diaz Acosta defeated Sebastian Baez 6-4 7-6 in the Auckland round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Sebastian Baez came in ranked #56, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Facundo Diaz Acosta claimed a first win over Sebastian Baez in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-19Rio de JaneiroR16claySebastian Baez7-6(1) 6-3
2024-02-05CordobaQFclaySebastian Baez6-3 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Diaz Acosta F.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Baez S.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Diaz Acosta F.

Serve advantage — Diaz Acosta F.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Diaz Acosta F.Baez S.
Serve
5
Return
63

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
72%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
60%
Return points won·Even
42%
41%
Break points saved·Even
62%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.1
1.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (74 vs 79). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
58
87
Break points saved·Slight edge
89
96
Break points won·Dominant
33
86
Deciding sets·Clear edge
67
88
Tiebreaks·Even
81
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 46 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
2.3Hard Elo 1533
Surface ELO
7.7+176 Hard Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1681
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1759
5.0
H2H
5.0
0.6
Surface form
0.7
0.0Lost last 7
Win streak
0.0Lost last 8
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
47
96

Diaz Acosta F.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 100 games (7d) · Baez S.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 48%