Aryna Sabalenka vs Renata ZarazuaBrisbane Round of 32

Brisbane · WTA · Round of 32
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 December 2024
hard
#75WTA
1663ELO
1639Hard ELO
28 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWLLL
Sabalenka A.
6-4 6-0
Zarazua R.
Sabalenka A.
662
Zarazua R.
400

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Renata Zarazua 6-4 6-0 in the Brisbane round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Zarazua R.

Zarazua R.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sabalenka A.Zarazua R.
96
Serve
22
39
Return
47

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
73%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
54%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.3
0.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (165 vs 150). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
98
51
Break points saved·Dominant
98
57
Break points won·Slight edge
100
95
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
63
Tiebreaks·Dominant
100
37

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 56 days (−0.7)
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
10.0+563 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1639
10.0Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1663
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.5
Surface form
9.0
Win streak
9.07-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.8
Country comfort
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
2.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
88
98

Sabalenka A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Zarazua R.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°CDrizzle
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 64%

Draw