Reilly Opelka vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard — Brisbane Semi-final

Brisbane · ATP · Semi-final
Reilly Opelka
USA
Reilly Opelka
#115ATP
1749ELO
1734Hard ELO
$325kYTD
$6.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 211 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 December 2024
hard
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
FRA
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
#83ATP
1738ELO
1672Hard ELO
$499kYTD
$3.5MCAREER
23 yrs · 203 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWLLL
Opelka R.
6-3 7-6
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Opelka R.
6772
Mpetshi Perricard G.
3640

Reilly Opelka defeated Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 6-3 7-6 in the Brisbane semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard came in ranked #83.

Key context

  • Match story: Reilly Opelka closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Opelka R.serving98% hold

wins 80% of points on serve vs Mpetshi Perricard G.

Mpetshi Perricard G.serving99% hold

wins 82% of points on serve vs Opelka R.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Opelka R.Mpetshi Perricard G.
86
Serve
81
0
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Opelka R.Mpetshi Perricard G.
1st serve in·Even
64%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
79%
79%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
54%
Service points won·Even
70%
71%
Return points won·Even
28%
29%
Break points saved·Even
72%
70%
Aces / match·Slight edge
17.2
16.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.9
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (90 vs 138). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Opelka R.Mpetshi Perricard G.
Clutch Rating·Even
63
65
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Even
1
1
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
95
Tiebreaks·Even
93
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Opelka R.
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
Mpetshi Perricard G.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
6.0+62 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 1672
5.6Overall Elo 1749
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1738
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.7
Surface form
6.6
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Opelka R.Mpetshi Perricard G.
Freshness·
—
95

Mpetshi Perricard G.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°CDrizzle
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 64%
Final
Dimitrov G.[2]
Rune H.[1]
7-656-4
Lehecka J.
Opelka R.
4-1
Semi-finals
Dimitrov G.[2]
Thompson J.
6-37-5
Rune H.[1]
Safiullin R.
6-47-60
Lehecka J.
Dimitrov G.[2]
6-44-4
Opelka R.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-37-64
Quarter-finals
Thompson J.
Nadal R.
5-77-666-3
Safiullin R.
Arnaldi M.
7-646-2
Dimitrov G.[2]
Hijikata R.
6-16-4
Rune H.[1]
Duckworth J.
6-27-66
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Mensik J.
7-57-65
Dimitrov G.[2]
Thompson J.[8]
6-12-1
Lehecka J.
Jarry N.
6-46-4
Opelka R.
Djokovic N.[1]
7-666-3
R16
Safiullin R.
Popyrin A.
6-796-47-63
Arnaldi M.
Klein L.
6-43-67-5
Dimitrov G.[2]
Altmaier D.
6-16-2
Thompson J.
Humbert U.[4]
W/O
Rune H.[1]
Shevchenko A.
6-45-76-2
Nadal R.
Kubler J.
6-16-2
Hijikata R.
Machac T.
5-76-27-64
Duckworth J.
Hanfmann Y.
4-66-17-62
Opelka R.
Arnaldi M.
7-697-64
Mensik J.
Lajovic D.
6-36-2
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Tiafoe F.[4]
6-47-64
Jarry N.
Bonzi B.
6-26-3
Lehecka J.
Nishioka Y.
6-26-756-4
Thompson J.[8]
Michelsen A.
7-56-3
Djokovic N.[1]
Monfils G.
6-36-3
Dimitrov G.[2]
Vukic A.
6-27-65
R32
Kubler J.
Karatsev A.[8]
6-46-740-0
Hanfmann Y.
Korda S.[5]
7-56-4
Altmaier D.
Tu L.
7-657-64
Dimitrov G.[2]
Murray A.
4-67-56-2
Shevchenko A.
Van Assche L.
6-36-2
Duckworth J.
Wolf J.
6-36-4
Arnaldi M.
Fucsovics M.
6-756-47-67
Klein L.
Baez S.[6]
4-66-36-4
Nadal R.
Thiem D.
7-56-1
Thompson J.
Vukic A.
6-36-2
Machac T.
Etcheverry T.[7]
6-757-57-61
Hijikata R.
Kokkinakis T.
7-686-2
Safiullin R.
Shelton B.[3]
6-36-756-3
Rune H.[1]
Purcell M.
4-66-46-2
Popyrin A.
Oconnell C.
6-46-757-64
Humbert U.[4]
Michelsen A.
6-46-4
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Kyrgios N.
7-626-747-63
Tiafoe F.[4]
Walton A.
7-656-3
Lajovic D.
Cazaux A.
6-46-4
Lehecka J.
Rune H.[3]
7-56-3
Djokovic N.[1]
Hijikata R.
6-36-3
Thompson J.[8]
Berrettini M.
3-66-36-4
Dimitrov G.[2]
Hanfmann Y.
7-656-3
Opelka R.
Gomez F.
7-56-4
Michelsen A.
Oconnell C.
6-44-67-610
Mensik J.
Kukushkin M.
7-636-4
Jarry N.
Navone M.
7-57-67
Monfils G.
Basavareddy N.
6-44-66-1
Nishioka Y.
Rinderknech A.
6-36-4
Bonzi B.
Tabilo A.[6]
6-787-656-4
Arnaldi M.
Popyrin A.[7]
6-36-2
Vukic A.
Goffin D.
6-26-3