Kei Nishikori vs Cameron NorrieHong Kong Quarter-final

Hong Kong · ATP · Quarter-final
#720ATP
1714ELO
1680Hard ELO
36 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 December 2024
hard
#29ATP
1829ELO
1789Hard ELO
$963kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWLW
Nishikori K.
6-3 3-6 6-2
Norrie C.
Nishikori K.
6362
Norrie C.
3621

Kei Nishikori defeated Cameron Norrie 6-3 3-6 6-2 in the Hong Kong quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Cameron Norrie came in ranked #29, but Kei Nishikori had arrived on a 6-match winning run. Kei Nishikori extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Kei Nishikori closed it out in three sets, 6–3 3–6 6–2.

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-08-02WashingtonR16hardKei Nishikori3-6 6-3 6-3
2019-07-01WimbledonR64grassKei Nishikori6-4 6-4 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Nishikori K.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Norrie C.

Norrie C.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Nishikori K.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nishikori K.Norrie C.
Serve
45
Return
34

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
64%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.4
5.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (64 vs 132). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
89
89
Break points saved·Even
97
99
Break points won·Slight edge
74
83
Deciding sets·Even
100
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
97
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 56 days (−0.7)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 56 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
3.3Hard Elo 1680
Surface ELO
6.7+109 Hard Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1714
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1829
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.7
Surface form
5.8
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
2.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
94

Norrie C.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast