Alexandre Muller vs Kei NishikoriHong Kong Final

Hong Kong · ATP · Final
#126ATP
1665ELO
1630Hard ELO
$426kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 December 2024
hard
#720ATP
1714ELO
1680Hard ELO
36 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWL
Muller A.
2-6 6-1 6-3
Nishikori K.
Muller A.
2662
Nishikori K.
6131

Alexandre Muller defeated Kei Nishikori 2-6 6-1 6-3 in the Hong Kong final on hard. The result followed the form book — Alexandre Muller came in ranked #126.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Muller A.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Nishikori K.

Nishikori K.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Muller A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Muller A.Nishikori K.
11
Serve
13
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Even
62%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.4
2.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (141 vs 64). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
75
89
Break points saved·Even
94
97
Break points won·Dominant
44
74
Deciding sets·Slight edge
95
100
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
84
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 56 days (−0.7)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 56 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1630
Surface ELO
5.4+50 Hard Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1665
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1714
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.6
Surface form
8.7
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
2.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
98

Muller A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Rublev A.[1]
Ruusuvuori E.
6-46-4
Muller A.
Nishikori K.
2-66-16-3