Shintaro Mochizuki vs Jurij RodionovNoumea CH Semi-final

Noumea CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#151ATP
1475ELO
1425Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 December 2024
hard
#142ATP
1636ELO
1584Hard ELO
$205kYTD
$1.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 191 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWLW
Mochizuki S.
6-3 6-3
Rodionov J.
Mochizuki S.
662
Rodionov J.
330

Shintaro Mochizuki defeated Jurij Rodionov 6-3 6-3 in the Noumea CH semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jurij Rodionov came in ranked #142, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Shintaro Mochizuki claimed a first win over Jurij Rodionov in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-06Davis Cup QLS R1: JPN vs AUTRRhardJurij Rodionov6-4 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Mochizuki S.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Rodionov J.

Rodionov J.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Mochizuki S.

Serve advantage — Rodionov J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
54%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
63%
Return points won·Even
41%
39%
Break points saved·Even
56%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.0
5.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.1
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (153 vs 155). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
52
41
Break points saved·Clear edge
74
89
Break points won·Dominant
55
17
Deciding sets·Even
46
49
Tiebreaks·Dominant
80
54

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
3.4Hard Elo 1425
Surface ELO
6.6+159 Hard Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1475
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1636
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.3
Surface form
6.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
80
98

Mochizuki S.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d) · Rodionov J.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast