Juncheng Shang vs Fabian MarozsanHong Kong Quarter-final

Hong Kong · ATP · Quarter-final
#274ATP
1746ELO
1698Hard ELO
21 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 December 2024
hard
#53ATP
1784ELO
1747Hard ELO
$728kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
26 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWLL
Shang J.
1-6 6-3 6-4
Marozsan F.
Shang J.
1662
Marozsan F.
6341

Juncheng Shang defeated Fabian Marozsan 1-6 6-3 6-4 in the Hong Kong quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Fabian Marozsan came in ranked #53. Juncheng Shang extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-11-04BelgradeR32hardFabian Marozsan2-6 7-6(5) 7-5
2023-05-29Roland GarrosQ2clayJuncheng Shang6-3 6-3
2023-01-16Australian OpenQ1hardJuncheng Shang6-4 7-6(2)

Serve vs return

This season
Shang J.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Marozsan F.

Marozsan F.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Shang J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Shang J.Marozsan F.
34
Serve
31
18
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
64%
60%
Aces / match·Even
4.5
4.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (89 vs 123). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
76
71
Break points saved·Even
96
97
Break points won·Slight edge
45
36
Deciding sets·Clear edge
94
82
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
86
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 56 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1698
Surface ELO
5.7+48 Hard Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1746
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1784
4.6
H2H
5.4
2.6
Surface form
4.1
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.7
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
94

Marozsan F.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast