Kei Nishikori vs Karen KhachanovHong Kong Round of 16

Hong Kong · ATP · Round of 16
#720ATP
1714ELO
1680Hard ELO
36 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 December 2024
hard
#22ATP
1828ELO
1783Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWL
Nishikori K.
4-6 6-3 7-5
Khachanov K.
Nishikori K.
4672
Khachanov K.
6351

Kei Nishikori defeated Karen Khachanov 4-6 6-3 7-5 in the Hong Kong round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Karen Khachanov came in ranked #22, but Kei Nishikori had arrived on a 6-match winning run. Kei Nishikori extended the head-to-head to 5–3.

Key context

Head to head

43
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-18GenevaR16clayKaren Khachanov7-5 2-5 RET
2021-05-31Roland GarrosR64clayKei Nishikori4-6 6-2 2-6 6-4 6-4
2021-05-03Madrid MastersR64clayKei Nishikori6-7(6) 6-2 6-2
2018-10-22ViennaR16hardKei Nishikori6-2 6-2
2018-06-18HalleR16grassKaren Khachanov6-2 6-2
2017-06-19HalleR16grassKaren Khachanov3-2 RET
2016-08-29US OpenR64hardKei Nishikori6-4 4-6 6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Nishikori K.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Khachanov K.

Khachanov K.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Nishikori K.

Serve advantage — Khachanov K.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nishikori K.Khachanov K.
Serve
61
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Even
59%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.4
7.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (64 vs 131). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
89
86
Break points saved·Even
97
99
Break points won·Slight edge
74
81
Deciding sets·Clear edge
100
83
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
97
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 56 days (−0.7)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
3.7Hard Elo 1680
Surface ELO
6.3+103 Hard Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1714
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1828
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.7
Surface form
7.7
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
2.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
80

Khachanov K.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast