Alexandre Muller vs Miomir KecmanovicHong Kong Round of 16

Hong Kong · ATP · Round of 16
#126ATP
1665ELO
1630Hard ELO
$426kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 December 2024
hard
#50ATP
1768ELO
1709Hard ELO
$756kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLWWWW
Muller A.
5-7 7-6 7-6
Kecmanovic M.
Muller A.
5787122
Kecmanovic M.
7666101

Alexandre Muller defeated Miomir Kecmanovic 5-7 7-6 7-6 in the Hong Kong round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Miomir Kecmanovic came in ranked #50. Alexandre Muller extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-05Hong KongR32hardAlexandre Muller7-5 6-4
2025-10-13StockholmR32hardMiomir Kecmanovic6-4 6-1
2025-07-27Canada MastersR64hardAlexandre Muller2-6 6-3 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Muller A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Kecmanovic M.

Kecmanovic M.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Muller A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Muller A.Kecmanovic M.
11
Serve
34
13
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
62%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.3
4.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (141 vs 135). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
75
66
Break points saved·Even
94
98
Break points won·Clear edge
44
67
Deciding sets·Dominant
95
56
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
84
69

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 56 days (−0.7)
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 56 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1630
Surface ELO
5.4+79 Hard Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1665
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1768
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.6
Surface form
4.4
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
94

Muller A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Kecmanovic M.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast