Polina Kudermetova vs Daria Kasatkina — Brisbane Round of 16

Brisbane · WTA · Round of 16
Polina Kudermetova
UZB
Polina Kudermetova
#113WTA
1727ELO
1646Hard ELO
23 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 December 2024
hard
Daria Kasatkina
AUS3
Daria Kasatkina
#65WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Kudermetova P.
1-6 6-2 7-5
Kasatkina D.
Kudermetova P.
1672
Kasatkina D.
6251

Polina Kudermetova defeated Daria Kasatkina 1-6 6-2 7-5 in the Brisbane round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Daria Kasatkina came in ranked #65, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Polina Kudermetova claimed a first win over Daria Kasatkina in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-09DohaR64hardDaria Kasatkina6-0 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Kudermetova P.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Kasatkina D.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Kudermetova P.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kudermetova P.Kasatkina D.
—
Serve
0
—
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Kudermetova P.Kasatkina D.
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
42%
Service points won·Even
57%
54%
Return points won·Even
44%
48%
Break points saved·Even
55%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.3
1.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.4
5.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (121 vs 120). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kudermetova P.Kasatkina D.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
51
78
Break points saved·Even
77
80
Break points won·Even
96
100
Deciding sets·Dominant
29
93
Tiebreaks·
—
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kudermetova P.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Kasatkina D.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 56 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
3.5Hard Elo 1646
Surface ELO
6.5+111 Hard Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1727
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1795
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.7
Surface form
6.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
6.9
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kudermetova P.Kasatkina D.
Freshness·Even
93
90

Kudermetova P.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Kasatkina D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°CDrizzle
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 64%

Draw

Final
Rybakina E.[2]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-06-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kudermetova P.
4-66-36-2
Semi-finals
Rybakina E.[2]
Noskova L.
6-36-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Azarenka V.[8]
6-26-4
Kudermetova P.
Kalinina A.
6-46-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Andreeva M.[8]
6-36-2
Quarter-finals
Rybakina E.[2]
Potapova A.[11]
6-1
Azarenka V.[8]
Ostapenko J.[3]
6-33-67-5
Noskova L.
Andreeva M.
7-56-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kasatkina D.[5]
6-16-4
Kalinina A.
Birrell K.
4-66-17-5
Andreeva M.[8]
Jabeur O.
6-47-62
Kudermetova P.
Krueger A.
7-656-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Bouzkova M.
6-36-4
R16
Ostapenko J.[3]
Pliskova K.[16]
6-24-66-3
Potapova A.[11]
Kudermetova V.[6]
7-56-776-4
Noskova L.
Riera J.
6-16-746-3
Azarenka V.[8]
Burel C.
7-56-2
Kasatkina D.[5]
Linette M.[9]
6-46-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Zhu L.[15]
6-16-0
Andreeva M.
Rodionova A.
6-16-1
Rybakina E.[2]
Mertens E.[13]
6-16-0
Kudermetova P.
Kasatkina D.[3]
1-66-27-5
Sabalenka A.[1]
Putintseva Y.[15]
7-626-4
Bouzkova M.
Azarenka V.[10]
6-46-4
Andreeva M.[8]
Noskova L.[12]
6-36-0
Jabeur O.
Avanesyan E.
6-41-66-4
Kalinina A.
Yuan Y.
6-16-4
Krueger A.
Lamens S.
7-56-0
Birrell K.
Potapova A.
7-626-2
R32
Pliskova K.[16]
Osaka N.
3-67-646-4
Kasatkina D.[5]
Kostyuk M.
6-36-4
Kudermetova V.[6]
Schmiedlova A.
6-26-3
Ostapenko J.[3]
Giorgi C.
6-16-4
Mertens E.[13]
Stephens S.
2-66-16-3
Burel C.
Kalinina A.[12]
6-46-1
Riera J.
Alexandrova E.[7]
6-36-4
Sabalenka A.[1]
Bronzetti L.
6-36-0
Azarenka V.[8]
Kalinskaya A.
6-17-68
Potapova A.[11]
Saville D.
6-43-66-4
Rybakina E.[2]
Gadecki O.
6-46-1
Linette M.[9]
Bucsa C.
6-37-5
Rodionova A.
Kenin S.[14]
7-57-67
Zhu L.[15]
Collins D.
1-66-37-67
Noskova L.
Cirstea S.[10]
6-44-66-4
Andreeva M.
Samsonova L.[4]
6-26-1
Noskova L.[12]
Todoni A.
6-16-4
Sabalenka A.[1]
Zarazua R.
6-46-0
Bouzkova M.
Ostapenko J.[7]
7-606-4
Kasatkina D.[3]
Stearns P.
7-674-67-5
Andreeva M.[8]
Blinkova A.
6-46-4
Krueger A.
Kalinskaya A.[6]
6-36-3
Azarenka V.[10]
Joint M.
6-756-26-4
Putintseva Y.[15]
Kessler M.
6-27-5
Yuan Y.
Kostyuk M.[9]
6-46-3
Kalinina A.
Shnaider D.[5]
6-34-66-1
Birrell K.
Navarro E.[2]
7-57-5
Jabeur O.
Alexandrova E.[14]
6-36-2
Potapova A.
Yastremska D.[16]
7-56-4
Avanesyan E.
Badosa P.[4]
6-31-66-2
Lamens S.
Frech M.[11]
7-56-3
Kudermetova P.
Samsonova L.[13]
6-776-36-2
R64
Riera J.
Tomova V.
6-26-4
Gadecki O.
Birrell K.
4-66-06-4
Osaka N.
Korpatsch T.
6-37-69
Bucsa C.
Minnen G.
5-76-36-1
Bronzetti L.
Krueger A.
6-47-5
Kostyuk M.
Bogdan A.
4-66-36-3
Giorgi C.
Stearns P.
5-76-26-3
Burel C.
Sonmez Z.
6-46-2
Noskova L.
Babos T.
5-77-687-62
Andreeva M.
Shnaider D.
6-26-3
Schmiedlova A.
Dolehide C.
3-66-46-2
Saville D.
Yastremska D.
6-06-4
Stephens S.
Siniakova K.
7-56-3
Collins D.
Baptiste H.
6-14-66-3
Kalinskaya A.
Pera B.
6-26-1
Rodionova A.
Trevisan M.
6-36-2
Kalinina A.
Wang Y.
6-42-0
Potapova A.
Bogdan A.
2-66-42-0
Bouzkova M.
Gibson T.
7-653-66-3
Kudermetova P.
Wang X.
6-16-3
Joint M.
Inglis M.
6-36-4
Birrell K.
Hon P.
3-67-56-2
Krueger A.
Uchijima M.
6-31-66-3
Jabeur O.
Zheng S.
7-656-4
Zarazua R.
Tomova V.
6-06-3
Stearns P.
Kudermetova V.
6-26-3
Lamens S.
Rakhimova K.
6-26-4
Blinkova A.
Bejlek S.
6-17-65
Kessler M.
Linette M.
6-46-4
Avanesyan E.
Sramkova R.
1-66-26-2
Yuan Y.
Rus A.
6-26-4
Todoni A.
Bucsa C.
7-636-2