Aoi Ito vs Maria Timofeeva — Canberra 125 Round of 32

Canberra 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
JPN
Aoi Ito
#246WTA
1549ELO
1568Hard ELO
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLLWLWL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 December 2024
hard
Maria Timofeeva
UZB
Maria Timofeeva
#79WTA
1696ELO
1608Hard ELO
22 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Ito A.
6-4 7-5
Timofeeva M.
Ito A.
672
Timofeeva M.
45–

Aoi Ito defeated Maria Timofeeva 6-4 7-5 in the Canberra 125 round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Maria Timofeeva came in ranked #79.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ito A.serving44% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Timofeeva M.

Timofeeva M.serving49% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Ito A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Ito A.Timofeeva M.
1st serve in·Even
69%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
47%
Service points won·Even
55%
56%
Return points won·Even
46%
47%
Break points saved·Even
53%
55%
Aces / match·Even
1.9
1.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.5
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (71 vs 124). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Ito A.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Timofeeva M.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 56 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
5.7Hard Elo 1568
Surface ELO
4.3+39 Hard Elo edge
5.2Overall Elo 1549
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1696
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.2
Surface form
7.1
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Ito A.Timofeeva M.
Freshness·Slight edge
91
96

Ito A.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Timofeeva M.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Parrizas Diaz N.
Dart H.
6-46-3
Ito A.
Wei S.
6-46-3
Semi-finals
Parrizas Diaz N.
Tauson C.
6-47-64
Dart H.
Volynets K.
7-53-67-5
Ito A.
Parrizas Diaz N.
6-26-2
Wei S.
Eala A.
7-56-2
Quarter-finals
Tauson C.
Joint M.
6-46-2
Volynets K.
Bondar A.
6-26-3
Dart H.
Hibino N.
6-36-0
Parrizas Diaz N.
Dodin O.
6-23-1
Ito A.
Stojanovic N.
6-27-66
Wei S.
Waltert S.
6-16-4
Eala A.
Preston T.
4-66-26-1
Parrizas Diaz N.
Selekhmeteva O.
6-36-3
R16
Tauson C.
Ferro F.
6-34-66-3
Joint M.
Seidel E.
5-76-36-4
Dodin O.
Andreeva E.
7-656-766-4
Parrizas Diaz N.
Rakhimova K.
6-40-66-3
Volynets K.
Mcphee K.
6-26-2
Bondar A.
Burrage J.
6-43-66-3
Dart H.
Wang Y.
6-31-66-1
Hibino N.
Preston T.
6-15-76-1
Wei S.
Sawangkaew M.
6-36-2
Parrizas Diaz N.
Saito S.
6-26-4
Ito A.
Sasnovich A.
6-16-2
Selekhmeteva O.
Galfi D.
6-32-67-5
Stojanovic N.
Hule P.
6-26-3
Waltert S.
Jacquemot E.
6-16-4
Preston T.
Stakusic M.
4-66-36-1
Eala A.
Hartono A.
6-36-3
R32
Tauson C.
Golubic V.
6-26-4
Ferro F.
Pigossi L.
7-656-2
Seidel E.
Stefanini L.
6-17-5
Joint M.
Errani S.
6-26-3
Dodin O.
Snigur D.
7-626-3
Andreeva E.
Marino R.
6-46-3
Parrizas Diaz N.
Naef C.
6-36-1
Rakhimova K.
Peterson R.
6-46-4
Mcphee K.
Zarazua R.
6-36-746-4
Volynets K.
Mandlik E.
6-26-0
Bondar A.
Arango E.
6-26-2
Burrage J.
Sharma A.
6-26-4
Wang Y.
Jones E.
6-46-2
Dart H.
Friedsam A.
3-66-46-3
Preston T.
Ercan M.
6-06-4
Hibino N.
Sebov K.
6-26-3
Hule P.
Zakharova A.
6-36-3
Sasnovich A.
Teichmann J.
6-43-66-3
Ito A.
Timofeeva M.
6-47-5
Sawangkaew M.
Seidel E.
4-66-26-3
Wei S.
Cabrera L.
6-36-4
Jacquemot E.
Jones E.
6-26-3
Waltert S.
Semenistaja D.
6-26-1
Preston T.
Oz I.
6-37-64
Stakusic M.
Ruzic A.
0-67-616-1
Parrizas Diaz N.
Fett J.
3-66-47-65
Saito S.
Kovinic D.
7-636-1
Galfi D.
Snigur D.
6-42-66-3
Stojanovic N.
Sierra S.
6-26-1
Selekhmeteva O.
Martic P.
6-33-67-64
Eala A.
Kraus S.
6-26-4
Hartono A.
Bondar A.
6-34-66-3