Joao Fonseca vs Ethan QuinnCanberra CH Final

Canberra CH · CHALLENGER · Final
#27ATP
1928ELO
1914Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$3.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 December 2024
hard
#47ATP
1804ELO
1767Hard ELO
$724kYTD
$2.1MCAREER
22 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
Fonseca J.
6-4 6-4
Quinn E.
Fonseca J.
662
Quinn E.
440

Joao Fonseca defeated Ethan Quinn 6-4 6-4 in the Canberra CH final on hard. The result followed the form book — Joao Fonseca came in ranked #27.

Key context

  • Match story: Joao Fonseca edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Fonseca J.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Quinn E.

Quinn E.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Fonseca J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Fonseca J.Quinn E.
47
Serve
37
38
Return
21

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
50%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.6
6.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (129 vs 158). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
76
71
Break points saved·Even
97
95
Break points won·Clear edge
43
19
Deciding sets·Slight edge
89
98
Tiebreaks·Even
96
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
6.8+147 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Hard Elo 1767
6.5Overall Elo 1928
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1804
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
8.6
Surface form
7.7
10.08-match win streak
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.4
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
89
93

Fonseca J.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Quinn E.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Koepfer D.[1]
Mensik J.
6-36-2
Fonseca J.
Quinn E.
6-46-4