Joao Fonseca vs Mackenzie McdonaldCanberra CH Round of 32

Canberra CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#27ATP
1928ELO
1914Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$3.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 December 2024
hard
#140ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
Fonseca J.
6-1 6-3
Mcdonald M.
Fonseca J.
662
Mcdonald M.
130

Joao Fonseca defeated Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-1 6-3 in the Canberra CH round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Joao Fonseca came in ranked #27.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Fonseca J.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Mcdonald M.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Fonseca J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Fonseca J.Mcdonald M.
48
Serve
25
38
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
62%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.6
4.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (129 vs 141). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
76
56
Break points saved·Even
97
96
Break points won·Clear edge
43
66
Deciding sets·Dominant
89
45
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
44

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.1
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
8.7+310 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.3Hard Elo 1604
8.6Overall Elo 1928
ELO gap
1.4Overall Elo 1606
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
8.6
Surface form
7.5
10.08-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.4
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
94
92

Fonseca J.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Mcdonald M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast