Alexandre Muller vs Arthur FilsHong Kong Quarter-final

Hong Kong · ATP · Quarter-final
#126ATP
1665ELO
1630Hard ELO
$426kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 December 2024
hard
#24ATP
2001ELO
1930Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$7.9MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWWW
Muller A.
3-6 6-3 6-1
Fils A.
Muller A.
3662
Fils A.
6311

Alexandre Muller defeated Arthur Fils 3-6 6-3 6-1 in the Hong Kong quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Arthur Fils came in ranked #24. Alexandre Muller extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-05-06Rome MastersR64clayAlexandre Muller7-5 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Muller A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Fils A.

Fils A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Muller A.

Serve advantage — Fils A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Muller A.Fils A.
11
Serve
56
13
Return
30

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
61%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.4
5.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (141 vs 128). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
75
89
Break points saved·Even
94
98
Break points won·Dominant
44
70
Deciding sets·Even
95
98
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
84
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 56 days (−0.7)
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.1Hard Elo 1630
Surface ELO
8.9+299 Hard Elo edge
0.8Overall Elo 1665
ELO gap
9.2Overall Elo 2001
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.6
Surface form
5.7
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.1
3-set count
0.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
98
90

Muller A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Fils A.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast