Daniel Evans vs Emilio Nava — Canberra CH Qualifying Round 1

Canberra CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
Daniel Evans
GBR4
Daniel Evans
#501ATP
1588ELO
1562Hard ELO
36 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 December 2024
hard
Emilio Nava
USA
Emilio Nava
#91ATP
1704ELO
1621Hard ELO
$533kYTD
$2.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWWWW
Evans D.
7-5 0-6 6-3
Nava E.
Evans D.
7062
Nava E.
5631

Daniel Evans defeated Emilio Nava 7-5 0-6 6-3 in the Canberra CH qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Emilio Nava came in ranked #91, defending last year's round of 32, but Daniel Evans had arrived on a 3-match winning run.

Key context

  • Match story: Daniel Evans closed it out in three sets, 7–5 0–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Evans D.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Nava E.

Nava E.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Evans D.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Evans D.Nava E.
—
Serve
40
—
Return
16

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Evans D.Nava E.
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.2
7.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.5
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (93 vs 189). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Evans D.Nava E.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
73
52
Break points saved·Even
97
94
Break points won·Dominant
61
17
Deciding sets·Slight edge
82
89
Tiebreaks·Dominant
66
23

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Evans D.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 77 days (−1.2)
Nava E.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 56 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1562
Surface ELO
5.6+59 Hard Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1588
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1704
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.3
Surface form
5.5
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Evans D.Nava E.
Freshness·Even
100
100

Evans D.: 20 days rest · Nava E.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Q2
Vavassori A.[1]
Shelbayh A.[7]
6-26-4
Hoole C.
Skatov T.[11]
6-27-5
Molleker R.[8]
Bolt A.
6-46-2
Gigante M.
Dellavedova M.
6-16-2
Yevseyev D.[6]
Fatic N.[9]
6-26-2
Ritschard A.[10]
Rincon D.[5]
6-37-63
Trotter J.[10]
Burruchaga R.[2]
6-16-4
Quinn E.
Evans D.[4]
6-26-3
Habib H.
Winter E.
6-46-4
Galarneau A.
Holt B.[12]
6-36-716-3
Kasnikowski M.[6]
Martineau M.
6-36-757-63
Kypson P.
Hemery C.
7-656-2
Q1
Yevseyev D.[6]
Saville L.
2-66-16-3
Bolt A.
Llamas Ruiz P.[2]
7-54-67-65
Fatic N.[9]
Walkin B.
6-26-4
Rincon D.[5]
Blockx A.
6-36-3
Vavassori A.[1]
Jin J.
3-66-36-4
Shelbayh A.[7]
Jones H.
3-66-36-4
Molleker R.[8]
Romios M.
6-27-61
Gigante M.
Winter E.
6-46-4
Dellavedova M.
Maestrelli F.
7-644-66-3
Hoole C.
Harper M.
6-36-3
Ritschard A.[10]
Gadecki T.
6-26-2
Hemery C.
Svajda Z.[5]
6-26-0
Winter E.
Herbert P.[1]
6-16-2
Galarneau A.
Albot R.[3]
6-26-3
Kasnikowski M.[6]
Jones H.
6-747-647-63
Trotter J.[10]
Marinkov P.
6-36-4
Evans D.[4]
Nava E.
7-50-66-3
Martineau M.
Kachmazov A.[11]
6-46-4
Burruchaga R.[2]
Blockx A.
6-17-5
Habib H.
Shimabukuro S.[8]
7-606-3
Holt B.[12]
Hewitt C.
7-696-1
Quinn E.
Jubb P.[7]
7-646-4
Kypson P.
Shimizu Y.[9]
6-36-4