Reilly Opelka vs Novak Djokovic — Brisbane Quarter-final

Brisbane · ATP · Quarter-final
Reilly Opelka
USA
Reilly Opelka
#115ATP
1749ELO
1734Hard ELO
$325kYTD
$6.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 211 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 December 2024
hard
Novak Djokovic
SRB1
Novak Djokovic
#8ATP
2059ELO
2022Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$193MCAREER
39 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
Opelka R.
7-6 6-3
Djokovic N.
Opelka R.
7862
Djokovic N.
6630

Reilly Opelka defeated Novak Djokovic 7-6 6-3 in the Brisbane quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Novak Djokovic came in ranked #8.

Key context

  • Match story: Reilly Opelka closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Opelka R.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Djokovic N.

Djokovic N.serving98% hold

wins 80% of points on serve vs Opelka R.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Opelka R.Djokovic N.
86
Serve
68
0
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Opelka R.Djokovic N.
1st serve in·Even
64%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
79%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
56%
Service points won·Even
70%
69%
Return points won·Clear edge
28%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
72%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
17.1
7.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (90 vs 103). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Opelka R.Djokovic N.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
63
99
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Dominant
1
99
Deciding sets·Clear edge
88
100
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Opelka R.
3.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
Djokovic N.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 89 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
1.4Hard Elo 1734
Surface ELO
8.6+288 Hard Elo edge
1.1Overall Elo 1749
ELO gap
8.9Overall Elo 2059
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.7
Surface form
8.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
7.5
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Opelka R.Djokovic N.
Freshness·
—
42

Djokovic N.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 127 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°CDrizzle
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 64%
Final
Dimitrov G.[2]
Rune H.[1]
7-656-4
Lehecka J.
Opelka R.
4-1
Semi-finals
Dimitrov G.[2]
Thompson J.
6-37-5
Rune H.[1]
Safiullin R.
6-47-60
Lehecka J.
Dimitrov G.[2]
6-44-4
Opelka R.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-37-64
Quarter-finals
Thompson J.
Nadal R.
5-77-666-3
Safiullin R.
Arnaldi M.
7-646-2
Dimitrov G.[2]
Hijikata R.
6-16-4
Rune H.[1]
Duckworth J.
6-27-66
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Mensik J.
7-57-65
Dimitrov G.[2]
Thompson J.[8]
6-12-1
Lehecka J.
Jarry N.
6-46-4
Opelka R.
Djokovic N.[1]
7-666-3
R16
Safiullin R.
Popyrin A.
6-796-47-63
Arnaldi M.
Klein L.
6-43-67-5
Dimitrov G.[2]
Altmaier D.
6-16-2
Thompson J.
Humbert U.[4]
W/O
Rune H.[1]
Shevchenko A.
6-45-76-2
Nadal R.
Kubler J.
6-16-2
Hijikata R.
Machac T.
5-76-27-64
Duckworth J.
Hanfmann Y.
4-66-17-62
Opelka R.
Arnaldi M.
7-697-64
Mensik J.
Lajovic D.
6-36-2
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Tiafoe F.[4]
6-47-64
Jarry N.
Bonzi B.
6-26-3
Lehecka J.
Nishioka Y.
6-26-756-4
Thompson J.[8]
Michelsen A.
7-56-3
Djokovic N.[1]
Monfils G.
6-36-3
Dimitrov G.[2]
Vukic A.
6-27-65
R32
Kubler J.
Karatsev A.[8]
6-46-740-0
Hanfmann Y.
Korda S.[5]
7-56-4
Altmaier D.
Tu L.
7-657-64
Dimitrov G.[2]
Murray A.
4-67-56-2
Shevchenko A.
Van Assche L.
6-36-2
Duckworth J.
Wolf J.
6-36-4
Arnaldi M.
Fucsovics M.
6-756-47-67
Klein L.
Baez S.[6]
4-66-36-4
Nadal R.
Thiem D.
7-56-1
Thompson J.
Vukic A.
6-36-2
Machac T.
Etcheverry T.[7]
6-757-57-61
Hijikata R.
Kokkinakis T.
7-686-2
Safiullin R.
Shelton B.[3]
6-36-756-3
Rune H.[1]
Purcell M.
4-66-46-2
Popyrin A.
Oconnell C.
6-46-757-64
Humbert U.[4]
Michelsen A.
6-46-4
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Kyrgios N.
7-626-747-63
Tiafoe F.[4]
Walton A.
7-656-3
Lajovic D.
Cazaux A.
6-46-4
Lehecka J.
Rune H.[3]
7-56-3
Djokovic N.[1]
Hijikata R.
6-36-3
Thompson J.[8]
Berrettini M.
3-66-36-4
Dimitrov G.[2]
Hanfmann Y.
7-656-3
Opelka R.
Gomez F.
7-56-4
Michelsen A.
Oconnell C.
6-44-67-610
Mensik J.
Kukushkin M.
7-636-4
Jarry N.
Navone M.
7-57-67
Monfils G.
Basavareddy N.
6-44-66-1
Nishioka Y.
Rinderknech A.
6-36-4
Bonzi B.
Tabilo A.[6]
6-787-656-4
Arnaldi M.
Popyrin A.[7]
6-36-2
Vukic A.
Goffin D.
6-26-3