Lorenzo Musetti vs Gabriel DialloHong Kong Round of 16

Hong Kong · ATP · Round of 16
#15ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 December 2024
hard
#88ATP
1716ELO
1678Hard ELO
$480kYTD
$3.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 203 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLLL
Musetti L.
6-4 6-3
Diallo G.
Musetti L.
662
Diallo G.
430

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Gabriel Diallo 6-4 6-3 in the Hong Kong round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #15. Lorenzo Musetti extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-23Madrid MastersQFclayLorenzo Musetti6-4 6-3
2023-09-13Davis Cup Finals RR: CAN vs ITARRhardGabriel Diallo7-5 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Musetti L.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Diallo G.

Diallo G.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Musetti L.Diallo G.
54
Serve
38
62
Return
14

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
60%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.0
8.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.9
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (155 vs 152). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
89
64
Break points saved·Even
98
96
Break points won·Dominant
82
24
Deciding sets·Clear edge
99
87
Tiebreaks·Dominant
95
68

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 39 days (−0.7)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 40 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
7.7+125 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.3Hard Elo 1678
7.9Overall Elo 1869
ELO gap
2.1Overall Elo 1716
0.0
H2H
10.0
3.8
Surface form
6.5
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
83

Diallo G.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast