Marie Bouzkova vs Jelena OstapenkoBrisbane Round of 32

Brisbane · WTA · Round of 32
#23WTA
1871ELO
1798Hard ELO
$844kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 December 2024
hard
#31WTA
1855ELO
1794Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
Bouzkova M.
7-6 6-4
Ostapenko J.
Bouzkova M.
7762
Ostapenko J.
6040

Marie Bouzkova defeated Jelena Ostapenko 7-6 6-4 in the Brisbane round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Marie Bouzkova came in ranked #23, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Marie Bouzkova extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2019-08-05TorontoR16hardMarie Bouzkova6-2 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Bouzkova M.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Ostapenko J.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Bouzkova M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bouzkova M.Ostapenko J.
10
Serve
10
81
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
43%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
56%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.3
4.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.5
5.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (116 vs 104). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
79
88
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
79
Break points won·Even
98
100
Deciding sets·Clear edge
75
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
71
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 47 days (−0.7)
3.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 112 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0+4 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.0Hard Elo 1794
5.0Overall Elo 1871
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1855
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.7
Surface form
3.4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
78
91

Bouzkova M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d) · Ostapenko J.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°CDrizzle
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 64%

Draw