Jordan Thompson vs Matteo BerrettiniBrisbane Round of 32

Brisbane · ATP · Round of 32
#156ATP
1772ELO
1733Hard ELO
$153kYTD
$9.6MCAREER
32 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 December 2024
hard
#51ATP
1831ELO
1797Hard ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Thompson J.
3-6 6-3 6-4
Berrettini M.
Thompson J.
3662
Berrettini M.
6341

Jordan Thompson defeated Matteo Berrettini 3-6 6-3 6-4 in the Brisbane round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Matteo Berrettini came in ranked #51, leading the head-to-head 1–0, but Jordan Thompson had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Jordan Thompson claimed a first win over Matteo Berrettini in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2019-08-26US OpenR64hardMatteo Berrettini7-5 7-6(5) 4-6 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Thompson J.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Berrettini M.

Berrettini M.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Thompson J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Thompson J.Berrettini M.
Serve
57
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
69%
Return points won·Even
36%
35%
Break points saved·Even
65%
68%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.2
9.1
Double faults / match·Even
1.3
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (95 vs 105). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
70
81
Break points saved·Even
97
100
Break points won·Dominant
24
53
Deciding sets·Even
91
91
Tiebreaks·Even
95
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 36 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1733
Surface ELO
5.8+65 Hard Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1772
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1831
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.2
Surface form
6.4
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.3
Country comfort
5.7
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
73

Berrettini M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°CDrizzle
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 64%