Gabriel Diallo vs Roberto Carballes BaenaHong Kong Round of 32

Hong Kong · ATP · Round of 32
#88ATP
1716ELO
1678Hard ELO
$480kYTD
$3.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 203 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 December 2024
hard
#163ATP
1632ELO
1592Hard ELO
$188kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Diallo G.
4-6 7-6 7-5
Carballes Baena R.
Diallo G.
47772
Carballes Baena R.
66451

Gabriel Diallo defeated Roberto Carballes Baena 4-6 7-6 7-5 in the Hong Kong round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Gabriel Diallo came in ranked #88.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Diallo G.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Carballes Baena R.

Carballes Baena R.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Diallo G.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Diallo G.Carballes Baena R.
38
Serve
14
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
61%
Return points won·Even
36%
39%
Break points saved·Even
61%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.6
3.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (152 vs 135). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
64
61
Break points saved·Even
96
93
Break points won·Dominant
24
58
Deciding sets·Clear edge
87
64
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
68
51

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 40 days (−0.7)
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 56 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
6.2+86 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Hard Elo 1592
6.4Overall Elo 1716
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1632
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.5
Surface form
3.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
83
100

Diallo G.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Carballes Baena R.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast