Emiliana Arango vs Heather WatsonBrisbane Qualifying Round 1

Brisbane · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#97WTA
1624ELO
1576Hard ELO
25 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLLL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 December 2024
hard
#527WTA
1572ELO
1548Hard ELO
34 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLLLW
Arango E.
6-4 6-4
Watson H.
Arango E.
662
Watson H.
44

Emiliana Arango defeated Heather Watson 6-4 6-4 in the Brisbane qualifying round 1 on hard. The result followed the form book — Emiliana Arango came in ranked #97.

Key context

  • Match story: Emiliana Arango edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Arango E.serving51% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Watson H.

Watson H.serving51% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Arango E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Arango E.Watson H.
0
Serve
62
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
57%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
52%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
46%
41%
Break points saved·Even
53%
52%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.0
2.9
Double faults / match·Even
3.7
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (126 vs 69). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
57
20
Break points saved·Clear edge
56
43
Break points won·Clear edge
81
62
Deciding sets·Clear edge
70
50
Tiebreaks·Dominant
75
12

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
5.4+28 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1548
5.7Overall Elo 1624
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1572
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.6
Surface form
6.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
88
100

Arango E.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 33 games (7d) · Watson H.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast