Iga Swiatek vs Katie BoulterUnited Cup Quarter-final

United Cup · WTA · Quarter-final
#3WTA
2064ELO
2022Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 27 December 2024
hard
#60WTA
1831ELO
1795Hard ELO
29 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWLW
Swiatek I.
6-7 6-1 6-4
Boulter K.
Swiatek I.
64662
Boulter K.
77141

Iga Swiatek defeated Katie Boulter 6-7 6-1 6-4 in the United Cup quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Iga Swiatek came in ranked #3, defending last year's semi-final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Swiatek I.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Boulter K.

Boulter K.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Swiatek I.Boulter K.
67
Serve
21
98
Return
67

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
58%
Return points won·Even
48%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
56%
Aces / match·Even
2.6
3.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
5.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (163 vs 118). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
100
87
Break points saved·Clear edge
98
86
Break points won·Slight edge
100
93
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
94
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
98
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 44 days (−0.7)
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 44 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
7.8+227 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.2Hard Elo 1795
7.9Overall Elo 2064
ELO gap
2.1Overall Elo 1831
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
8.3
Surface form
7.1
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
Context
8.5
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
91
98

Swiatek I.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Boulter K.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast