Joao Fonseca vs Learner TienNext Gen Finals Final

Next Gen Finals · ATP · Final
#27ATP
1928ELO
1914Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$3.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWL
3 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 18 December 2024
hard
#17ATP
1941ELO
1904Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$4.4MCAREER
20 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWW
Fonseca J.
2-4 4-3 4-0 4-2
Tien L.
Fonseca J.
2410443
Tien L.
438021

Joao Fonseca defeated Learner Tien 2-4 4-3 4-0 4-2 in the Next Gen Finals final on hard. The result followed the form book — Joao Fonseca came in leading the head-to-head 2–0. Joao Fonseca extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-19Miami MastersR128hardJoao Fonseca6-7(1) 6-3 6-4
2024-12-18Next Gen FinalsRRhardJoao Fonseca4-0 4-0 1-4 4-2

Serve vs return

This season
Fonseca J.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Tien L.

Tien L.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Fonseca J.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Fonseca J.Tien L.
47
Serve
32
38
Return
67

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Even
62%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.6
4.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (129 vs 142). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
76
90
Break points saved·Even
97
97
Break points won·Dominant
43
83
Deciding sets·Slight edge
89
100
Tiebreaks·Even
96
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 37 days (−0.7)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 37 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
5.4+9 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1904
5.4Overall Elo 1928
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1941
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.1
Surface form
6.3
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
85
85

Fonseca J.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d) · Tien L.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast