Maria Lourdes Carle vs Katarzyna Kawa — Florianopolis 125 Quarter-final

Florianopolis 125 · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
ARG
Maria Lourdes Carle
#232WTA
1484ELO
1461Clay ELO
26 yrs · 166 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLLW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 December 2024
clay
Katarzyna Kawa
POL
Katarzyna Kawa
#119WTA
1664ELO
1662Clay ELO
33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
Carle M.
6-4 6-1
Kawa K.
Carle M.
662
Kawa K.
41–

Maria Lourdes Carle defeated Katarzyna Kawa 6-4 6-1 in the Florianopolis 125 quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Katarzyna Kawa came in ranked #119, leading the head-to-head 1–0, but Maria Lourdes Carle had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Maria Lourdes Carle claimed a first win over Katarzyna Kawa in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-11-25Buenos Aires 125SFclayKatarzyna Kawa6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Carle M.serving32% hold

wins 43% of points on serve vs Kawa K.

Kawa K.serving32% hold

wins 43% of points on serve vs Carle M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Carle M.Kawa K.
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
58%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
39%
45%
Service points won·Even
52%
55%
Return points won·Even
49%
46%
Break points saved·Even
52%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.7
2.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.2
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (139 vs 116). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Carle M.Kawa K.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
27
51
Break points saved·Slight edge
26
15
Break points won·Even
97
93
Deciding sets·Dominant
56
88
Tiebreaks·Dominant
5
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Carle M.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Kawa K.
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.0Clay Elo 1461
Surface ELO
7.0+201 Clay Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1484
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1664
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.7
Surface form
6.5
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.5
Minutes 14d
3.3
4.0
3-set count
0.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Carle M.Kawa K.
Freshness·Slight edge
86
95

Carle M.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d) · Kawa K.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Chwalinska M.
In Albon Y.
6-16-2
Semi-finals
In Albon Y.
Carle M.
3-67-696-2
Chwalinska M.
Jeanjean L.
6-06-3
Quarter-finals
Carle M.
Kawa K.
6-46-1
In Albon Y.
Fossa Huergo N.
6-36-1
Jeanjean L.
Strakhova V.
6-26-1
Chwalinska M.
Sherif M.
6-34-66-1
R16
Carle M.
Mladenovic K.
4-66-26-1
Kawa K.
Pigossi L.
6-36-2
Fossa Huergo N.
Papamichail D.
6-21-66-3
In Albon Y.
Shymanovich I.
7-57-5
Jeanjean L.
Stojanovic N.
6-16-1
Strakhova V.
Alves C.
6-36-4
Chwalinska M.
Oliynykova O.
7-616-1
Sherif M.
Jorge F.
6-16-3
R32
Carle M.
Tkacheva M.
6-16-0
Mladenovic K.
Arango E.
7-656-766-1
Kawa K.
Fullana L.
6-06-1
Pigossi L.
Kulikova A.
6-26-2
Fossa Huergo N.
Semenistaja D.
6-37-5
Papamichail D.
Capurro Taborda M.
6-34-66-0
Shymanovich I.
Vergara Rivera A.
6-36-3
In Albon Y.
Udvardy P.
6-46-1
Jeanjean L.
Lodikova D.
6-17-65
Stojanovic N.
Candiotto A.
6-26-1
Strakhova V.
Bulgaru M.
4-66-46-2
Alves C.
Riera J.
7-56-4
Chwalinska M.
Fita Boluda A.
7-636-2
Oliynykova O.
Ibragimova A.
6-46-0
Sherif M.
Maristany Zuleta De Reales G.
6-37-5
Jorge F.
Makarova E.
2-67-654-0