Valeriya Strakhova vs Miriam Bianca BulgaruFlorianopolis 125 Round of 32

Florianopolis 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#555WTA
1179ELO
1199Clay ELO
31 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 December 2024
clay
1366ELO
1330Clay ELO
27 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLLLL
Strakhova V.
4-6 6-4 6-2
Bulgaru M.
Strakhova V.
4662
Bulgaru M.
6421

Valeriya Strakhova defeated Miriam Bianca Bulgaru 4-6 6-4 6-2 in the Florianopolis 125 round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Miriam Bianca Bulgaru came in defending last year's quarter-final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Strakhova V.serving33% hold

wins 43% of points on serve vs Bulgaru M.

Bulgaru M.serving40% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Strakhova V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
55%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
50%
55%
Return points won·Even
46%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
46%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.6
1.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.6
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (71 vs 103). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
2
20
Break points saved·Clear edge
1
25
Break points won·Dominant
86
60
Deciding sets·Dominant
19
59
Tiebreaks·
29

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.4Clay Elo 1199
Surface ELO
6.6+131 Clay Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1179
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1366
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.3
Surface form
4.8
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
8.4
Minutes 14d
8.4
7.0
3-set count
4.0
6.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
95
86

Strakhova V.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Bulgaru M.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast