Naoki Nakagawa vs Dane SweenyYokkaichi CH Round of 32

Yokkaichi CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#776ATP
1289ELO
1271Hard ELO
29 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 25 November 2024
hard
#122ATP
1460ELO
1444Hard ELO
$256kYTD
$861kCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWWL
Nakagawa N.
7-6 6-2
Sweeny D.
Nakagawa N.
71262
Sweeny D.
61020

Naoki Nakagawa defeated Dane Sweeny 7-6 6-2 in the Yokkaichi CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Dane Sweeny came in ranked #122.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Nakagawa N.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Sweeny D.

Sweeny D.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Nakagawa N.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
54%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
60%
Return points won·Even
36%
39%
Break points saved·Even
59%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.3
2.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (55 vs 94). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
3
45
Break points saved·Clear edge
57
69
Break points won·Slight edge
1
11
Deciding sets·Dominant
12
68
Tiebreaks·Dominant
17
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.1Hard Elo 1271
Surface ELO
7.9+173 Hard Elo edge
1.9Overall Elo 1289
ELO gap
8.1Overall Elo 1460
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.8
Surface form
3.1
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Minutes 14d
8.1
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
98

Sweeny D.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast