Matias Soto vs Gustavo Heide — Sao Paulo CH Quarter-final

Sao Paulo CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
CHI
Matias Soto
#249ATP
1421ELO
1412Clay ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 18 November 2024
clay
BRA
Gustavo Heide
#136ATP
1695ELO
1679Clay ELO
$167kYTD
$609kCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
Soto M.
6-1 6-2
Heide G.
Soto M.
662
Heide G.
120

Matias Soto defeated Gustavo Heide 6-1 6-2 in the Sao Paulo CH quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Gustavo Heide came in ranked #136.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Soto M.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Heide G.

Heide G.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Soto M.

Serve advantage — Heide G.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Soto M.Heide G.
1st serve in·Even
57%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
54%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
64%
Aces / match·Even
4.0
4.4
Double faults / match·Even
3.6
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (109 vs 110). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Soto M.Heide G.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
34
51
Break points saved·Dominant
51
90
Break points won·Even
14
10
Deciding sets·Slight edge
68
63
Tiebreaks·Dominant
56
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Soto M.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Heide G.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.1Clay Elo 1412
Surface ELO
6.9+267 Clay Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1421
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1695
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
4.4
Surface form
5.2
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.5
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Soto M.Heide G.
Freshness·Clear edge
56
72

Soto M.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 120 games (7d) · Heide G.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 68 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Final
Comesana F.[3]
Tirante T.[5]
7-54-66-4
Semi-finals
Comesana F.[3]
Soto M.
6-26-777-61
Tirante T.[5]
Barrios Vera T.[7]
7-647-5
Quarter-finals
Soto M.
Heide G.
6-16-2
Comesana F.[3]
Meligeni Alves F.[8]
6-36-4
Barrios Vera T.[7]
Johns G.
6-36-1
Tirante T.[5]
Habib H.
7-634-66-4
R16
Soto M.
Prado Angelo J.
6-36-4
Heide G.
Kovacevic A.[1]
6-36-4
Comesana F.[3]
Ficovich J.
6-776-47-66
Meligeni Alves F.[8]
Tomic B.
6-43-66-4
Barrios Vera T.[7]
Sakamoto P.
7-53-66-3
Johns G.
Kicker N.
6-36-1
Tirante T.[5]
Torres J.
7-56-4
Habib H.
Monteiro T.[2]
4-67-626-4
R32
Kicker N.
Clarke J.
6-44-66-2
Kovacevic A.[1]
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
6-27-64
Heide G.
Reis Da Silva J.
6-36-4
Prado Angelo J.
Guillen Meza A.
6-46-1
Soto M.
Gomez F.[6]
7-57-64
Comesana F.[3]
Luz O.
6-36-2
Ficovich J.
Bertola R.
6-36-3
Tomic B.
Bueno G.
6-36-726-1
Meligeni Alves F.[8]
Midon L.
6-27-5
Barrios Vera T.[7]
Alves M.
7-664-67-62
Sakamoto P.
Boscardin Dias P.
6-36-4
Johns G.
Ambrogi L.
6-46-4
Tirante T.[5]
Olivo R.
6-26-2
Torres J.
Villanueva G.
7-656-4
Habib H.
Paz J.
6-36-756-3
Monteiro T.[2]
Saraiva Dos Santos P.
6-36-3