Li Tu vs Shintaro MochizukiKobe CH Round of 32

Kobe CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#464ATP
1488ELO
1471Hard ELO
30 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 11 November 2024
hard
#115ATP
1475ELO
1425Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Tu L.
6-1 3-6 6-3
Mochizuki S.
Tu L.
6362
Mochizuki S.
1631

Li Tu defeated Shintaro Mochizuki 6-1 3-6 6-3 in the Kobe CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Shintaro Mochizuki came in ranked #115, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Li Tu claimed a first win over Shintaro Mochizuki in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Li Tu closed it out in three sets, 6–1 3–6 6–3.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-18ChengduQ2hardShintaro Mochizuki7-6(3) 1-6 7-6(1)

Serve vs return

This season
Tu L.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Mochizuki S.

Mochizuki S.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Tu L.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
54%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
58%
Return points won·Even
37%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.7
3.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (124 vs 153). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
27
52
Break points saved·Slight edge
82
74
Break points won·Dominant
8
55
Deciding sets·Dominant
20
47
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
64
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.6+46 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Hard Elo 1425
5.2Overall Elo 1488
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1475
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.7
Surface form
5.3
Fatigue & Travel
5.0
Minutes 14d
6.1
0.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
86

Mochizuki S.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast