Denis Shapovalov vs Christopher OconnellBelgrade Quarter-final

Belgrade · ATP · Quarter-final
#41ATP
1771ELO
1775Hard ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 4 November 2024
hard
1673ELO
1657Hard ELO
32 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWWW
Shapovalov D.
6-2 6-2
Oconnell C.
Shapovalov D.
662
Oconnell C.
220

Denis Shapovalov defeated Christopher Oconnell 6-2 6-2 in the Belgrade quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Denis Shapovalov came in leading the head-to-head 1–0. Denis Shapovalov extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersR64hardDenis Shapovalov6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Shapovalov D.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Oconnell C.

Oconnell C.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Shapovalov D.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Shapovalov D.Oconnell C.
25
Serve
20
70
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Even
62%
63%
Aces / match·Even
7.9
7.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.8
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (121 vs 127). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
85
49
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Dominant
71
22
Deciding sets·Dominant
92
38
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
84
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.8+118 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Hard Elo 1657
6.8Overall Elo 1771
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1673
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.1
Surface form
3.5
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.1
Minutes 14d
5.3
7.0
3-set count
0.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
98

Shapovalov D.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast