Shintaro Mochizuki vs Guy Den OudenMatsuyama CH Round of 32

Matsuyama CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#115ATP
1475ELO
1425Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 4 November 2024
hard
#231ATP
1495ELO
1339Hard ELO
$84kYTD
$332kCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWLWW
Mochizuki S.
7-5 7-6
Den Ouden G.
Mochizuki S.
7772
Den Ouden G.
5630

Shintaro Mochizuki defeated Guy Den Ouden 7-5 7-6 in the Matsuyama CH round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Shintaro Mochizuki came in ranked #115, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Mochizuki S.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Den Ouden G.

Den Ouden G.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Mochizuki S.

Serve advantage — Den Ouden G.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
54%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
50%
Service points won·Even
58%
61%
Return points won·Even
41%
42%
Break points saved·Even
57%
58%
Aces / match·Even
3.0
2.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.1
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (153 vs 102). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
52
26
Break points saved·Even
74
72
Break points won·Clear edge
55
36
Deciding sets·Dominant
46
19
Tiebreaks·Dominant
80
35

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+87 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1339
5.6Overall Elo 1475
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1495
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.8
Surface form
1.3
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
6.3
Minutes 14d
8.3
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
83
77

Mochizuki S.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Den Ouden G.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 59 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast