Alex Michelsen vs Bu YunchaoketeMetz Quarter-final

Metz · ATP · Quarter-final
#46ATP
1825ELO
1810Hard ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 4 November 2024
hard
1709ELO
1644Hard ELO
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWW
Michelsen A.
6-7 6-2 6-4
Yunchaokete B.
Michelsen A.
66662
Yunchaokete B.
78241

Alex Michelsen defeated Bu Yunchaokete 6-7 6-2 6-4 in the Metz quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex Michelsen came in leading the head-to-head 2–0. Alex Michelsen extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-24AcapulcoR32hardAlex Michelsen2-6 7-6(5) 7-6(5)
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersR128hardAlex Michelsen6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Michelsen A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Yunchaokete B.

Yunchaokete B.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Michelsen A.Yunchaokete B.
34
Serve
24
46
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.9
6.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (157 vs 147). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
35
Break points saved·Even
98
97
Break points won·Clear edge
46
26
Deciding sets·Dominant
91
38
Tiebreaks·Dominant
95
16

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.7+166 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.3Hard Elo 1644
7.4Overall Elo 1825
ELO gap
2.6Overall Elo 1709
10.0
H2H
0.0
5.3
Surface form
4.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Minutes 14d
6.1
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
66
88

Michelsen A.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 78 games (7d) · Yunchaokete B.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 35 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast