Varvara Lepchenko vs Marina Stakusic — Midland 125 Round of 32

Midland 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Varvara Lepchenko
USA
Varvara Lepchenko
#172WTA
1578ELO
1559Hard ELO
40 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 4 November 2024
hard
CAN
Marina Stakusic
#138WTA
1707ELO
1672Hard ELO
21 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWL
Lepchenko V.
6-4 6-7 7-6
Stakusic M.
Lepchenko V.
662772
Stakusic M.
477631

Varvara Lepchenko defeated Marina Stakusic 6-4 6-7 7-6 in the Midland 125 round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Marina Stakusic came in ranked #138.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Lepchenko V.serving54% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Stakusic M.

Stakusic M.serving56% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Lepchenko V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Lepchenko V.Stakusic M.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
44%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Even
56%
55%
Aces / match·Even
3.0
2.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.6
5.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (146 vs 95). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Lepchenko V.Stakusic M.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
47
61
Break points saved·Slight edge
64
73
Break points won·Dominant
65
94
Deciding sets·Clear edge
72
54
Tiebreaks·
39
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Lepchenko V.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Stakusic M.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.7Hard Elo 1559
Surface ELO
6.3+114 Hard Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1578
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1707
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.9
Surface form
8.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.4
Minutes 14d
7.4
7.0
3-set count
0.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Lepchenko V.Stakusic M.
Freshness·
44
—

Lepchenko V.: 1 day rest · 6 matches, 149 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Final
Marino R.
Parks A.
6-26-1
Semi-finals
Parks A.
Davis L.
6-36-3
Marino R.
Tsurenko L.
6-27-5
Quarter-finals
Tsurenko L.
Miller K.
3-66-26-2
Marino R.
Korneeva A.
6-47-5
Parks A.
Sharma A.
6-36-1
Davis L.
Lepchenko V.
7-683-66-2
R16
Miller K.
Kudermetova P.
6-32-67-68
Tsurenko L.
Teichmann J.
7-57-5
Korneeva A.
Knutson G.
7-57-5
Marino R.
Chirico L.
6-786-27-67
Sharma A.
Tikhonova A.
6-36-3
Parks A.
Mcnally C.
6-14-66-4
Lepchenko V.
Kaji H.
6-756-46-4
Davis L.
Osuigwe W.
6-06-1
R32
Kudermetova P.
Scott K.
6-46-2
Miller K.
Loeb J.
4-67-646-1
Teichmann J.
Mandlik E.
7-626-2
Tsurenko L.
Zidansek T.
6-26-2
Kaji H.
Appleton E.
6-16-4
Davis L.
Charaeva A.
7-636-3
Osuigwe W.
Maria T.
6-36-3
Korneeva A.
Joint M.
7-57-64
Knutson G.
Mikulskyte J.
6-05-77-5
Chirico L.
Zhao C.
7-656-2
Marino R.
Anderson R.
6-47-64
Sharma A.
Li A.
6-44-67-63
Tikhonova A.
Chang S.
7-56-1
Mcnally C.
Kung L.
6-06-4
Parks A.
Glushko L.
4-66-26-4
Lepchenko V.
Stakusic M.
6-46-727-63