Luca Nardi vs Jan ChoinskiHelsinki CH Quarter-final

Helsinki CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#160ATP
1585ELO
1572Hard ELO
$213kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 4 November 2024
hard
#75ATP
1686ELO
1571Hard ELO
$204kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWLWW
Nardi L.
6-4 6-3
Choinski J.
Nardi L.
662
Choinski J.
430

Luca Nardi defeated Jan Choinski 6-4 6-3 in the Helsinki CH quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jan Choinski came in ranked #75.

Key context

  • Match story: Luca Nardi closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Nardi L.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Choinski J.

Choinski J.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Nardi L.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
61%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.4
4.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.1
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (139 vs 164). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
32
55
Break points saved·Even
92
90
Break points won·Slight edge
15
20
Deciding sets·Dominant
42
88
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
18
41

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+1 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1571
5.5Overall Elo 1585
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1686
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.0
Surface form
2.4
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
9.1
Minutes 14d
9.1
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
88
49

Nardi L.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Choinski J.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 113 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast