Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Camilo Ugo CarabelliLima 2 CH Quarter-final

Lima 2 CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#45ATP
1790ELO
1762Clay ELO
$752kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 4 November 2024
clay
#58ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
Cerundolo J.
6-1 6-1
Ugo Carabelli C.
Cerundolo J.
662
Ugo Carabelli C.
110

Juan Manuel Cerundolo defeated Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-1 6-1 in the Lima 2 CH quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Juan Manuel Cerundolo came in ranked #45, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Juan Manuel Cerundolo extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-26SantiagoQ1clayJuan Manuel Cerundolo6-1 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Cerundolo J.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Ugo Carabelli C.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Cerundolo J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Cerundolo J.Ugo Carabelli C.
19
Serve
24
49
Return
36

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
48%
Service points won·Even
61%
60%
Return points won·Even
41%
40%
Break points saved·Even
57%
61%
Aces / match·Even
3.3
2.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (182 vs 175). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
85
78
Break points saved·Slight edge
82
90
Break points won·Clear edge
80
62
Deciding sets·Even
98
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2+21 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.8Clay Elo 1741
4.2Overall Elo 1790
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1759
4.6
H2H
5.4
6.6
Surface form
8.2
Fatigue & Travel
3.1
Minutes 14d
4.0
Prev. match
4.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Cerundolo J.: 15 days rest · Ugo Carabelli C.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast