Colton Smith vs Reilly Opelka — Charlottesville CH Round of 16

Charlottesville CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
USA
Colton Smith
#181ATP
1577ELO
1566Hard ELO
$154kYTD
$480kCAREER
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 28 October 2024
hard
Reilly Opelka
USA
Reilly Opelka
#131ATP
1749ELO
1734Hard ELO
$325kYTD
$6.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 211 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLW
Smith C.
6-7 6-4 6-4
Opelka R.
Smith C.
65662
Opelka R.
77441

Colton Smith defeated Reilly Opelka 6-7 6-4 6-4 in the Charlottesville CH round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Reilly Opelka came in ranked #131, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Smith C.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Opelka R.

Opelka R.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Smith C.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Smith C.Opelka R.
—
Serve
86
—
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Smith C.Opelka R.
1st serve in·Even
65%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
79%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
70%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
29%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
72%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.0
17.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.3
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (99 vs 90). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Smith C.Opelka R.
Clutch Rating·Even
62
63
Break points saved·Slight edge
94
100
Break points won·Dominant
52
1
Deciding sets·Even
92
88
Tiebreaks·Dominant
8
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Smith C.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Opelka R.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 26 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
1.9Hard Elo 1566
Surface ELO
8.1+168 Hard Elo edge
1.5Overall Elo 1577
ELO gap
8.5Overall Elo 1749
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.9
Surface form
3.5
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
4.3
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Smith C.Opelka R.
Freshness·
100
—

Smith C.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Final
Trotter J.
Basavareddy N.
6-36-4
Semi-finals
Basavareddy N.
Galarneau A.
6-46-2
Trotter J.
Tien L.[2]
6-33-66-2
Quarter-finals
Basavareddy N.
Rodesch C.
6-46-767-65
Galarneau A.
Quinn E.
6-36-2
Trotter J.
Smith C.
7-642-67-64
Tien L.[2]
Lajal M.
3-66-16-4
R16
Basavareddy N.
Zahraj P.
6-26-0
Rodesch C.
Jubb P.[8]
6-777-56-4
Galarneau A.
Dietrich D.
6-27-65
Quinn E.
Kasnikowski M.[5]
7-56-0
Smith C.
Opelka R.
6-756-46-4
Trotter J.
Holt B.
6-26-3
Lajal M.
Kypson P.[6]
7-646-3
Tien L.[2]
Mejia N.
6-47-68
R32
Kasnikowski M.[5]
Edmund K.
4-66-46-2
Zahraj P.
Eubanks C.[1]
6-17-67
Basavareddy N.
Spizzirri E.
6-46-3
Rodesch C.
Nanda G.
6-46-3
Jubb P.[8]
Kodat T.
6-46-2
Dietrich D.
Svajda Z.[4]
6-36-3
Galarneau A.
Nakagawa N.
6-46-1
Quinn E.
Couacaud E.
6-17-67
Opelka R.
Popko D.[7]
5-76-17-61
Smith C.
Ilagan A.
6-37-5
Holt B.
Rybakov A.
7-56-4
Trotter J.
Krueger M.[3]
7-57-66
Kypson P.[6]
Tomic B.
6-36-0
Lajal M.
Searle H.
6-36-3
Mejia N.
Kudla D.
0-66-37-5
Tien L.[2]
Zhukayev B.
2-66-46-2