Reilly Opelka vs Dmitry PopkoCharlottesville CH Round of 32

Charlottesville CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#115ATP
1749ELO
1734Hard ELO
$325kYTD
$6.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 211 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 28 October 2024
hard
#652ATP
1385ELO
1400Hard ELO
29 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLLLL
Opelka R.
5-7 6-1 7-6
Popko D.
Opelka R.
56772
Popko D.
71611

Reilly Opelka defeated Dmitry Popko 5-7 6-1 7-6 in the Charlottesville CH round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Reilly Opelka came in ranked #115, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Opelka R.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Popko D.

Popko D.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Opelka R.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Opelka R.Popko D.
86
Serve
0
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
54%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
70%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
28%
39%
Break points saved·Clear edge
72%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
17.0
4.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.8
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (90 vs 124). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
63
3
Break points saved·Dominant
100
54
Break points won·Clear edge
1
17
Deciding sets·Dominant
88
9
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
6

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 26 days (−0.3)
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.3+334 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.7Hard Elo 1400
9.8Overall Elo 1749
ELO gap
0.2Overall Elo 1385
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.5
Surface form
4.9
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.4
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
78

Popko D.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 60 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast