Alex De Minaur vs Mariano NavoneParis Masters Round of 64

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#6ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 28 October 2024
hard
#38ATP
1822ELO
1693Hard ELO
$722kYTD
$3.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWWL
De Minaur A.
7-5 6-1
Navone M.
De Minaur A.
762
Navone M.
510

Alex De Minaur defeated Mariano Navone 7-5 6-1 in the Paris Masters round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #6, defending last year's quarter-final.

Key context

  • Match story: Alex De Minaur came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–5 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
De Minaur A.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Navone M.

Navone M.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

Serve advantage — De Minaur A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

De Minaur A.Navone M.
48
Serve
3
80
Return
51

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
56%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
60%
Return points won·Even
41%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.3
2.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (166 vs 148). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
95
75
Break points saved·Clear edge
99
86
Break points won·Slight edge
97
90
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
77
Tiebreaks·Dominant
99
60

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.5+243 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.5Hard Elo 1693
7.6Overall Elo 1961
ELO gap
2.4Overall Elo 1822
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
2.3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
2.9
Minutes 14d
6.0
0.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.2
Country comfort
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
77
94

De Minaur A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d) · Navone M.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
14°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 92%