Hiroki Moriya vs Mackenzie McdonaldSeoul CH Round of 16

Seoul CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#507ATP
1353ELO
1321Hard ELO
35 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 28 October 2024
hard
#140ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
Moriya H.
6-3 0-6 6-4
Mcdonald M.
Moriya H.
6062
Mcdonald M.
3641

Hiroki Moriya defeated Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-3 0-6 6-4 in the Seoul CH round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Mackenzie Mcdonald came in ranked #140.

Key context

  • Match story: Hiroki Moriya closed it out in three sets, 6–3 0–6 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Moriya H.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Mcdonald M.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Moriya H.

Serve advantage — Mcdonald M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Moriya H.Mcdonald M.
Serve
25
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
64%
Return points won·Even
41%
38%
Break points saved·Even
58%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.9
4.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.0
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (114 vs 141). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
3
56
Break points saved·Dominant
35
96
Break points won·Dominant
9
66
Deciding sets·Clear edge
32
45
Tiebreaks·Dominant
6
44

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.4Hard Elo 1321
Surface ELO
8.6+283 Hard Elo edge
1.6Overall Elo 1353
ELO gap
8.4Overall Elo 1606
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
1.8
Surface form
8.6
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.3
Minutes 14d
2.8
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
56
92

Moriya H.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 84 games (7d) · Mcdonald M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast