Jordan Thompson vs Adrian Mannarino — Paris Masters Round of 16

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 16
Jordan Thompson
AUS
Jordan Thompson
#309ATP
1772ELO
1733Hard ELO
$153kYTD
$9.6MCAREER
32 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 28 October 2024
hard
Adrian Mannarino
FRA
Adrian Mannarino
#49ATP
1673ELO
1647Hard ELO
$633kYTD
$15MCAREER
38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLWW
Thompson J.
7-5 7-6
Mannarino A.
Thompson J.
7772
Mannarino A.
5650

Jordan Thompson defeated Adrian Mannarino 7-5 7-6 in the Paris Masters round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Adrian Mannarino came in ranked #49, leading the head-to-head 7–3, defending last year's round of 64. Jordan Thompson narrowed the head-to-head to 7–4.

Key context

Head to head

3–7
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-25US OpenR64hardAdrian Mannarino6-4 6-7(5) 6-3 6-3
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersR128hardAdrian Mannarino6-2 6-2
2023-07-31WashingtonR32hardJordan Thompson7-5 6-4
2023-07-17NewportQFgrassAdrian Mannarino6-0 6-7(4) 6-2
2023-06-12s HertogenboschQFgrassJordan Thompson5-7 7-6(2) 6-2
2023-02-06DallasR16hardAdrian Mannarino6-2 7-6(3)
2019-06-10s HertogenboschFgrassAdrian Mannarino7-6(7) 6-3
2019-01-07SydneyR32hardJordan Thompson6-3 6-3
2018-07-16NewportR16grassAdrian Mannarino6-2 7-6(4)
2017-06-12s HertogenboschR32grassAdrian Mannarino6-4 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Thompson J.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Mannarino A.

Mannarino A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Thompson J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Thompson J.Mannarino A.
—
Serve
38
—
Return
33

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Thompson J.Mannarino A.
1st serve in·Even
60%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
62%
Return points won·Even
35%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.2
4.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.3
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (95 vs 144). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Thompson J.Mannarino A.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
70
65
Break points saved·Even
97
96
Break points won·Dominant
24
66
Deciding sets·Clear edge
91
72
Tiebreaks·Dominant
95
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Thompson J.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 26 days (−0.3)
Mannarino A.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+85 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Hard Elo 1647
6.4Overall Elo 1772
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1673
5.4
H2H
4.6
3.7
Surface form
4.5
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.2
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Country comfort
6.2
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Thompson J.Mannarino A.
Freshness·
—
80

Mannarino A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
14°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 92%
Final
Zverev A.[3]
Humbert U.[15]
6-26-2
Semi-finals
Humbert U.[15]
Khachanov K.
6-766-46-3
Zverev A.[3]
Rune H.[13]
6-37-64
Quarter-finals
Rune H.[13]
De Minaur A.[9]
6-44-67-5
Khachanov K.
Dimitrov G.[8]
6-26-3
Zverev A.[3]
Tsitsipas S.[10]
7-56-4
Humbert U.[15]
Thompson J.
6-27-64
R16
Humbert U.[15]
Alcaraz C.[2]
6-13-67-5
Rune H.[13]
Cazaux A.
3-66-36-4
De Minaur A.[9]
Draper J.
5-76-26-3
Zverev A.[3]
Fils A.
6-43-66-3
Tsitsipas S.[10]
Cerundolo F.
6-716-46-2
Dimitrov G.[8]
Rinderknech A.
6-24-67-65
Khachanov K.
Popyrin A.
7-656-4
Thompson J.
Mannarino A.
7-57-65
R32
Fils A.
Struff J.
6-36-4
Tsitsipas S.[10]
Tabilo A.
6-36-4
Thompson J.
Ruud C.[7]
7-633-66-4
Rinderknech A.
Michelsen A.
7-667-67
Draper J.
Fritz T.[5]
7-664-66-4
Zverev A.[3]
Griekspoor T.
7-626-3
Cerundolo F.
Rublev A.[6]
7-667-65
Dimitrov G.[8]
Etcheverry T.
6-796-37-5
Khachanov K.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-7126-16-4
De Minaur A.[9]
Kecmanovic M.
6-47-65
Mannarino A.
Bergs Z.
3-66-26-4
Humbert U.[15]
Giron M.
6-36-2
Alcaraz C.[2]
Jarry N.
7-56-1
Popyrin A.
Medvedev D.[4]
6-42-67-64
Cazaux A.
Shelton B.
6-37-64
Rune H.[13]
Bublik A.
6-46-2
R64
De Minaur A.[9]
Navone M.
7-56-1
Struff J.
Musetti L.[16]
6-46-2
Etcheverry T.
Zhang Z.
6-37-66
Khachanov K.
Oconnell C.
6-43-67-66
Giron M.
Shang J.
7-667-66
Rinderknech A.
Machac T.
6-735-3
Michelsen A.
Hurkacz H.[12]
6-16-3
Tabilo A.
Borges N.
3-67-656-3
Draper J.
Lehecka J.
7-56-2
Fils A.
Cilic M.
7-656-4
Kecmanovic M.
Baez S.
6-46-767-5
Griekspoor T.
Darderi L.
6-36-4
Bublik A.
Fognini F.
7-57-5
Rune H.[13]
Arnaldi M.
6-46-4
Thompson J.
Martinez P.
6-46-4
Bergs Z.
Gasquet R.
6-36-4
Mannarino A.
Paul T.[11]
6-37-5
Humbert U.[15]
Nakashima B.
6-34-66-4
Jarry N.
Sonego L.
7-646-3
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Tiafoe F.[14]
6-757-646-3
Cerundolo F.
Halys Q.
7-656-3
Shelton B.
Moutet C.
6-36-786-3
Tsitsipas S.[10]
Carballes Baena R.
4-66-36-3
Popyrin A.
Berrettini M.
7-57-62