Alex De Minaur vs Jack Draper — Paris Masters Round of 16

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 16
Alex De Minaur
AUS9
Alex De Minaur
#6ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 28 October 2024
hard
Jack Draper
GBR
Jack Draper
#131ATP
1822ELO
1783Hard ELO
$305kYTD
$8.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWWW
De Minaur A.
5-7 6-2 6-3
Draper J.
De Minaur A.
5662
Draper J.
7231

Alex De Minaur defeated Jack Draper 5-7 6-2 6-3 in the Paris Masters round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's quarter-final. Alex De Minaur extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

3–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-26US OpenQFhardJack Draper6-3 7-5 6-2
2024-02-26AcapulcoSFhardAlex De Minaur6-3 2-6 4-0 RET
2023-10-16TokyoR32hardAlex De Minaur4-6 7-6(4) 7-6(1)
2022-06-27WimbledonR64grassAlex De Minaur5-7 7-6(0) 6-2 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
De Minaur A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Draper J.

Draper J.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

De Minaur A.Draper J.
48
Serve
—
80
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
De Minaur A.Draper J.
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
67%
Return points won·Even
41%
38%
Break points saved·Even
62%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.3
8.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (166 vs 107). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
De Minaur A.Draper J.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
95
88
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Clear edge
97
83
Deciding sets·Even
97
96
Tiebreaks·Even
99
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
De Minaur A.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Draper J.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+153 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1783
5.9Overall Elo 1961
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1822
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.6
Surface form
7.9
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
2.9
Minutes 14d
5.0
0.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
5.2
Country comfort
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
De Minaur A.Draper J.
Freshness·Dominant
73
100

De Minaur A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 72 games (7d) · Draper J.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
14°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 92%
Final
Zverev A.[3]
Humbert U.[15]
6-26-2
Semi-finals
Humbert U.[15]
Khachanov K.
6-766-46-3
Zverev A.[3]
Rune H.[13]
6-37-64
Quarter-finals
Rune H.[13]
De Minaur A.[9]
6-44-67-5
Khachanov K.
Dimitrov G.[8]
6-26-3
Zverev A.[3]
Tsitsipas S.[10]
7-56-4
Humbert U.[15]
Thompson J.
6-27-64
R16
Humbert U.[15]
Alcaraz C.[2]
6-13-67-5
Rune H.[13]
Cazaux A.
3-66-36-4
De Minaur A.[9]
Draper J.
5-76-26-3
Zverev A.[3]
Fils A.
6-43-66-3
Tsitsipas S.[10]
Cerundolo F.
6-716-46-2
Dimitrov G.[8]
Rinderknech A.
6-24-67-65
Khachanov K.
Popyrin A.
7-656-4
Thompson J.
Mannarino A.
7-57-65
R32
Fils A.
Struff J.
6-36-4
Tsitsipas S.[10]
Tabilo A.
6-36-4
Thompson J.
Ruud C.[7]
7-633-66-4
Rinderknech A.
Michelsen A.
7-667-67
Draper J.
Fritz T.[5]
7-664-66-4
Zverev A.[3]
Griekspoor T.
7-626-3
Cerundolo F.
Rublev A.[6]
7-667-65
Dimitrov G.[8]
Etcheverry T.
6-796-37-5
Khachanov K.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-7126-16-4
De Minaur A.[9]
Kecmanovic M.
6-47-65
Mannarino A.
Bergs Z.
3-66-26-4
Humbert U.[15]
Giron M.
6-36-2
Alcaraz C.[2]
Jarry N.
7-56-1
Popyrin A.
Medvedev D.[4]
6-42-67-64
Cazaux A.
Shelton B.
6-37-64
Rune H.[13]
Bublik A.
6-46-2
R64
De Minaur A.[9]
Navone M.
7-56-1
Struff J.
Musetti L.[16]
6-46-2
Etcheverry T.
Zhang Z.
6-37-66
Khachanov K.
Oconnell C.
6-43-67-66
Giron M.
Shang J.
7-667-66
Rinderknech A.
Machac T.
6-735-3
Michelsen A.
Hurkacz H.[12]
6-16-3
Tabilo A.
Borges N.
3-67-656-3
Draper J.
Lehecka J.
7-56-2
Fils A.
Cilic M.
7-656-4
Kecmanovic M.
Baez S.
6-46-767-5
Griekspoor T.
Darderi L.
6-36-4
Bublik A.
Fognini F.
7-57-5
Rune H.[13]
Arnaldi M.
6-46-4
Thompson J.
Martinez P.
6-46-4
Bergs Z.
Gasquet R.
6-36-4
Mannarino A.
Paul T.[11]
6-37-5
Humbert U.[15]
Nakashima B.
6-34-66-4
Jarry N.
Sonego L.
7-646-3
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Tiafoe F.[14]
6-757-646-3
Cerundolo F.
Halys Q.
7-656-3
Shelton B.
Moutet C.
6-36-786-3
Tsitsipas S.[10]
Carballes Baena R.
4-66-36-3
Popyrin A.
Berrettini M.
7-57-62