Renata Zarazua vs Maja ChwalinskaMerida Round of 16

Merida · WTA · Round of 16
#77WTA
1661ELO
1638Hard ELO
28 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLLLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 28 October 2024
hard
#21WTA
1820ELO
1729Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$2.5MCAREER
24 yrs · 164 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Zarazua R.
2-6 6-2 6-1
Chwalinska M.
Zarazua R.
2662
Chwalinska M.
6211

Renata Zarazua defeated Maja Chwalinska 2-6 6-2 6-1 in the Merida round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Maja Chwalinska came in ranked #21, but Renata Zarazua had arrived on a 5-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Zarazua R.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Chwalinska M.

Chwalinska M.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Zarazua R.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Zarazua R.Chwalinska M.
22
Serve
47
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
72%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Even
46%
48%
Break points saved·Even
54%
54%
Aces / match·Even
0.8
1.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (150 vs 95). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
49
66
Break points saved·Slight edge
57
50
Break points won·Even
95
98
Deciding sets·Clear edge
63
84
Tiebreaks·
29

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1638
Surface ELO
5.4+92 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1661
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1820
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
9.2
Surface form
6.0
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
4.9
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
99

Zarazua R.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 63 games (7d) · Chwalinska M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
28°CDrizzle
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 71%