Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Francisco CerundoloParis Masters Round of 16

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#87ATP
1833ELO
1803Hard ELO
$992kYTD
$38MCAREER
27 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 28 October 2024
hard
#21ATP
1931ELO
1880Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
Tsitsipas S.
6-7 6-4 6-2
Cerundolo F.
Tsitsipas S.
61662
Cerundolo F.
77421

Stefanos Tsitsipas defeated Francisco Cerundolo 6-7 6-4 6-2 in the Paris Masters round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Francisco Cerundolo came in ranked #21, defending last year's round of 16. Stefanos Tsitsipas extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-05Monte Carlo MastersR64clayFrancisco Cerundolo7-5 6-4
2024-10-21BaselR32hardStefanos Tsitsipas6-3 6-7(3) 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Tsitsipas S.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Cerundolo F.

Cerundolo F.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Tsitsipas S.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tsitsipas S.Cerundolo F.
57
Serve
13
39
Return
67

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.7
3.5
Double faults / match·Even
3.0
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (125 vs 153). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
90
88
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Slight edge
77
86
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
94
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
98
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1803
Surface ELO
5.7+78 Hard Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1833
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1931
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.1
Surface form
5.2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.3
Minutes 14d
6.3
4.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
6.3
Country comfort
Context
8.5
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
94
97

Tsitsipas S.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Cerundolo F.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
14°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 92%