Ugo Humbert vs Carlos AlcarazParis Masters Round of 16

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#29ATP
1868ELO
1843Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$12MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 28 October 2024
hard
#3ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
Humbert U.
6-1 3-6 7-5
Alcaraz C.
Humbert U.
6372
Alcaraz C.
1651

Ugo Humbert defeated Carlos Alcaraz 6-1 3-6 7-5 in the Paris Masters round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 32. Ugo Humbert claimed a first win over Carlos Alcaraz in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Ugo Humbert came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 3–6 7–5.

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-13Davis Cup Finals RR: FRA vs ESPRRhardCarlos Alcaraz6-3 6-3
2024-07-01WimbledonR16grassCarlos Alcaraz6-3 6-4 1-6 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Humbert U.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Alcaraz C.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Humbert U.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Humbert U.Alcaraz C.
64
Serve
75
15
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
57%
Service points won·Even
67%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
42%
Break points saved·Even
65%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.9
5.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (128 vs 170). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
70
98
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Dominant
37
99
Deciding sets·Clear edge
78
100
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
91
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
8.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 26 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
0.5Hard Elo 1843
Surface ELO
9.5+245 Hard Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1868
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 2162
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.0
Surface form
8.8
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.8
Country comfort
6.5
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
96

Humbert U.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
14°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 92%