Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Denis ShapovalovBasel Quarter-final

Basel · ATP · Quarter-final
#89ATP
1738ELO
1672Hard ELO
$499kYTD
$3.5MCAREER
23 yrs · 203 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 21 October 2024
hard
#39ATP
1771ELO
1775Hard ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-7 6-3 7-6
Shapovalov D.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
676772
Shapovalov D.
793631

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard defeated Denis Shapovalov 6-7 6-3 7-6 in the Basel quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Denis Shapovalov came in ranked #39.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Mpetshi Perricard G.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Shapovalov D.

Shapovalov D.serving95% hold

wins 75% of points on serve vs Mpetshi Perricard G.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mpetshi Perricard G.Shapovalov D.
81
Serve
25
0
Return
70

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
71%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
29%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
70%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
16.1
7.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (138 vs 121). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
65
85
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Dominant
1
71
Deciding sets·Even
95
92
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
97
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.4Hard Elo 1672
Surface ELO
6.6+103 Hard Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1738
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1771
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.3
Surface form
7.0
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
95
98

Mpetshi Perricard G.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Shapovalov D.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast